UFC Odds Today: UFC 321 Aspinall vs. Gane Betting Lines & Card Info
We're tracking UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane with live odds, an eye on fight-week news, betting trends, and weigh-in results.
The live UFC 321 odds look at today's event that treats us to two title straps. Tom Aspinall defends his heavyweight strap against Ciryl Gane in the main event, while Virna Jandiroba and Mackenzie Dern co-headline the card to earn the vacated women's strawweight title. We have the latest betting insights below, with the most bet fights of the day.
Set your alarms for this one: the prelims from Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, start at 10 a.m. ET (ESPN+), and the main card at 2 p.m. ET (pay-per-view).
📊 UFC 321 odds - Main Card
🥊 Tom Aspinall (15-3) vs. Ciryl Gane (13-2)
- Aspinall has been champ since 2023 (KO/TKO vs. Sergei Pavlovich), one defense in 2024 (KO/TKO vs. Curtis Blaydes)
- has never had a fight finish past the second round in his career
- enters on a three-bout first-round KO/TKO win streak
- Gane was the champ in 2021 (KO/TKO vs. Derrick Lewis) but lost to Francis Ngannou in his first defense (unanimous decision, Jan. 2022)
- Was submitted by Jon Jones in the first round in his only other title fight (March 2023)
- Beat Alexander Volkov via split decision in Dec. 2024
🥊 Virna Jandiroba (22-3) vs. Mackenzie Dern (15-5)
- Fighting for the vacant strawweight title, Jandiroba is the No. 1 contender, Dern the No. 5 contender
- This is their second meeting, with Dern recording a unanimous-decision victory in 2020 at UFC 256
- Jandiroba enters on a five-bout win streak, four via unanimous decision and one via submission
- Most recently topped Yan Xiaonan in April by decision
- Dern has won back-to-back fights but is just 2-2 over his last four
- Last time out she submitted Amanda Ribas in the third round (Jan. 2025)
🥊 Umar Nurmagomedov (18-1) vs. Mario Bautista (16-2)
- Nurmagomedov lost a title fight via unanimous decision to Merab Dvalishvili in January
- Was previously undefeated in his MMA career, including a 6-0 mark in UFC
- Bautista is on an 8-0 run dating back to 2022, with four straight wins by decision after a run of three submission wins
- Took the walk in June, beating Patchy Mix via decision
🥊 Alexander Volkov (38-11) vs. Jailton Almeida (22-3)
- Volkov had a four-fight win streak snapped last time out, losing to Ciryl Gane at UFC 310 in Dec. 2024 via split decision
- Almeida enters off back-to-back wins, most recently a first-round KO/TKO of Serghei Spivac in January
- Almeida is 8-1 at the UFC level (3-1 via KO/TKO, 4-0 via submission)
🥊 Aleksandar Rakic (14-5) vs. Azamat Murzakanov (15-0)
- Rakic has lost three consecutive bouts, losing via KO/TKO to Jan Blachowicz (May 2022), Jiri Prochazka (April 2024), and via decision to Magomed Ankalaev (Oct. 2024)
- Murzakanov is 5-0 since making the leap from Dana White's Contender Series (DWCS), with four KO/TKO victories
- Most recently picked up a first-round KO/TKO win over Brendson Ribeiro in June
🔮 UFC 321 expert picks
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- UFC 321 odds
👀 UFC 321 betting report
Here is how the betting action is coming in on UFC 321 at BetMGM:
| Fighters | Opening odds | Current odds | % Bets | % Handle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Aspinall | -425 | -425 | 32% | 48% |
| Ciryl Gane | +310 | +310 | 68% | 52% |
| Virna Jandiroba | +110 | +125 | 72% | 44% |
| Mackenzie Dern | -135 | -150 | 28% | 56% |
| Umar Nurmagomedov | -425 | -700 | 20% | 86% |
| Mario Bautista | +310 | +475 | 80% | 14% |
| Alexander Volkov | +140 | +150 | 83% | 54% |
| Jailton Almeida | -170 | -185 | 17% | 46% |
| Aleksander Rakic | +100 | -115 | 49% | 55% |
| Azamat Murzakanov | -120 | -105 | 51% | 45% |
| Nasrat Haqparast | -115 | +100 | 56% | 61% |
| Quillan Salkilld | -120 | -120 | 44% | 39% |
| Mateusz Rebecki | +125 | +110 | 55% | 71% |
| Ludovit Klein | -150 | -135 | 45% | 29% |
| Ikram Aliskerov | -275 | -210 | 32% | 43% |
| Jun Yong Park | +220 | +170 | 68% | 57% |
| Valter Walker | -325 | -400 | 32% | 15% |
| Louie Sutherland | +250 | +310 | 68% | 85% |
| Jose Miguel Delgado | -145 | -155 | 54% | 68% |
| Nathaniel Wood | +120 | +125 | 46% | 32% |
| Chris Barnett | +315 | +400 | 95% | 84% |
| Hamdy Abdelwahab | -425 | -550 | 5% | 16% |
| Azat Maksum | -350 | -550 | 16% | 81% |
| Mitch Raposo | +275 | +400 | 84% | 19% |
| Jaqueline Amorim | -450 | -450 | 22% | 57% |
| Mizuki Inoue | +350 | +340 | 78% | 43% |
📊 UFC 321 odds - Prelims
🥊 Nasrat Haqparast (18-5) vs. Quillan Salkilld (9-1)
- Haqparast has won five-straight fights, most recently topping Esteban Ribovics via split decision in March
- Salkilld is 2-0 since joining UFC from DWCS, with a KO/TKO over Anshul Jubli (February) and decision over Yanal Ashmouz (June)
🥊 Ikram Aliskerov (16-2) vs. JunYong Park (19-6)
- Aliskerov is 3-1 over a four-bout streak of first-round finishes, most recently topping Andre Muniz in April
- JunYong Park has won back-to-back decisions, beating Ismail Naurdiev in June last time he took the walk
🥊 Ludovit Klein (23-5-1) vs. Mateusz Rebecki (20-3)
- Klein had a 6-0-1 run snapped with a decision loss to Mateusz Gamrot in May
- Rebecki has alternated wins and losses over his last four bouts, losing to Chris Duncan last time out in August
🥊 Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady (15-4) vs. Matheus Camilo (9-3)
- Al-Selwady lost his UFC debut after making the jump from DWCS, suffering a KO/TKO defeat to Loik Radzhabov in March 2024
- Camilo also lost his UFC debut last time out, getting submitted in the second round by Gabe Green in May
🥊 Valter Walker (14-1) vs. Louie Sutherland (10-3)
- Walker is 4-0 at the UFC level and has won three straight via first-round submission (most recently vs. Kennedy Nzechukwu in July)
- Sutherland is making his UFC debut
- Sutherland is 3-0 in 2025, with all three bouts coming at Levels Fight League events
🥊 Nathaniel Wood (21-6) vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (10-1)
- Wood has gone to eight straight decisions, going 6-2, including two back-to-back wins
- Most recently, he topped Morgan Charriere in March
- Delgado has ended his last five bouts via KO/TKO, including a 2-0 mark in the UFC
- His UFC bouts are both first-round finishes: Connor Matthews (Feb.) and Hyder Amil (June)
🥊 Hamdy Abdelwahab (6-1) vs. Chris Barnett (23-9)
- Abdelwahab is 1-1 in 2025, his only two bouts since 2022
- Split decision win vs. Jamal Pogues (Feb.); unanimous decision loss vs. Mohammed Usman (June)
- Barnett has alternated wins and losses over six fights dating back to 2020 before he was in UFC
- Lost to Kennedy Nzechukwu via KO/TKO (first round) in Oct. 2024
🥊 Azat Maksum (15-2) vs. Mitch Raposo (9-3)
- Maksum won his UFC debut via split decision over Tyson Nam (July 2023) but has two straight unanimous-decision losses
- Those two losses are to Charles Johnson (Feb. 2024) and Tagir Ulanbekov (June 2025)
- Raposo has also dropped two straight, both coming via split decision, bringing his UFC record to 0-2
- Andre Lima (June 2024) and Sumudaerji (April 2025)
🥊 Jaqueline Amorim (10-1) vs. Mizuki (15-6)
- Amorim dropped her UFC debut in 2023 but is 4-0 since, including three straight submission victories
- Most recently beat Polyana Viana in the second round (April)
- Mizuki is 2-1 in the UFC, with all three bouts coming via decision
- Her last fight was a unanimous-decision victory over Hannah Goldy in Sept. 2023
📺 Where to watch UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
📅 When: Saturday, Oct. 25
📍Where: Etihad Arena (Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates)
📺 How to watch: Prelims - 10 a.m. ET (ESPN+); Main Card - 2 p.m. ET (PPV)
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