Ravens vs. Bills Prediction, Sunday Night Football Picks & Odds: SNF

We like the Ravens to beat the Bills on Sunday Night Football, with Mark Andrews getting into the end zone.
Ravens vs. Bills Prediction for Sunday Night Football: SNF Picks & Odds
Pictured: Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrews looks on during an NFL OTA. Photo by Daniel Kucin Jr. via Imagn Images

While it won't make up for losing in last season's playoffs, the Baltimore Ravens will be desperate to exact a morsel of revenge and start on the right foot against the Buffalo Bills. 

My Ravens vs. Bills prediction backs the Ravens, who've jumped from being the 1-point betting underdog to the 1-point favorite. I also like Mark Andrews - with his added motivation from that infamous drop in the playoffs - to hit pay dirt. 

The NFL picks below are part of the NFL predictions for Week 1, with today's game set to start at 8:20 p.m. ET from Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, N.Y. (NBC). 

🏈 Ravens vs. Bills picks for Sunday Night Football

NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.

  • Against the spread pick: Ravens -1 (-105 via BetMGM) vs. Bills ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Player prop: Mark Andrews to score a touchdown (+175 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Get the most out of your Sunday Night Football picks with our DraftKings promo code for Ravens vs. Bills.

Best Ravens vs. Bills against the spread prediction for Sunday Night Football

🐦‍⬛ Ravens to cover the spread: -1 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -105 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 51.22%

It likely took a lot of support from both the public and sharps to move this line enough to make the top Super Bowl odds contenders a home underdog in Week 1. But even though Josh Allen is 3-2 in his career against Lamar Jackson, the latter has won two of the three regular-season meetings. That has me backing Baltimore’s low point spread as my best Ravens vs. Bills prediction.

The Ravens are the most balanced squad in the league. Baltimore is coming off a season when it was the first team in the Super Bowl era with 30-plus passing touchdowns and 30-plus rushing touchdowns.

Baltimore’s improvements defensively toward the end of last season have led to me backing the team confidently this week. The Ravens led the NFL in defensive efficiency over the final eight weeks of the regular season, allowing an NFL-low 15.4 points per game and 4.4 yards per play. Baltimore also fielded a stout run defense all campaign, allowing an NFL-low 3.6 yards per rush. 

The Ravens may be the only club leaguewide that can make Buffalo truly one-dimensional. They've also put together perhaps the only defense that can consistently pressure the reigning MVP. Allen was sacked the fewest times (14) among quarterbacks who made at least 12 starts last year, but Baltimore’s 54 sacks were the second-most in the NFL.

The Ravens have moved to as high as -1.5 at several of the best sports betting sites. I'm therefore squeezing every bit of value out of BetMGM’s -1 spread, which would translate to $9.52 in profit on a winning $10 wager, with a 51.22% implied probability.

Best Ravens vs. Bills player prop for Sunday Night Football

Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

🔥 Mark Andrews anytime touchdown scorer (+175) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +175 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 36.36%

Mark Andrews was unfairly labeled as the scapegoat after the Ravens lost their divisional-round matchup to the Bills last season when he dropped the potential game-tying two-point conversion attempt late. But there's a lot of data supporting my best Ravens vs. Bills player prop bet that he'll pick himself up and find the end zone in this rematch.

Andrews has recorded 55-plus receptions in each of his four career seasons when the tight end has played 11-plus games. Baltimore also owned the fifth-highest target rate to tight ends last season.

The Ravens enjoyed a lot of success targeting tight ends in the red zone last year. The resulting 17 touchdown receptions led the league, and were eight more than the next-closest team. Baltimore’s tight ends also ranked second in red-zone receptions (22) and red-zone targets (29). 

Andrews’ implied probability to score a touchdown is as high as 40.82% through bet365’s +145 odds. But the +175 odds through DraftKings on the high end of the market return a much better value, turning a winning $10 wager into $17.50 in profit.

📊 Ravens vs. Bills odds

See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.

🚑 Ravens vs. Bills injuries

🔢 Ravens vs. Bills updated betting info 

  • The line hopped the fence, with the Ravens moving from +1 to -1
  • 55% of bets are on the Bills to cover
  • The Bills' moneyline odds moved from -120 to +100, and the opposite scenario occurred to the Ravens' ML odds
  • The total is set at 50.5 points, with 57% of bets backing the Over

Sunday Night Football game info

  • Matchup: Ravens vs. Bills
  • Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • Where: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, N.Y.)
  • How to watch: NBC
  • Weather: 53 degrees and clear with 7-mph winds
  • Favorite: Ravens -1 (-105 via BetMGM)

💡 More Ravens vs. Bills expert picks


NFL betting odds pages

❓Sunday Night Football FAQs

Who plays on Sunday Night Football?

The Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills clash on Sunday Night Football in Week 1 in a rematch of last year's AFC divisional-round battle.

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