Commanders vs. Chiefs Player Prop Bets: Monday Night Football Picks
My Commanders vs. Chiefs player props for tonight's Monday Night Football game target Travis Kelce, Patrick Mahomes, and Marcus Mariota.
The Chiefs are a 10.5-point betting favorite tonight, with kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo., set for 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN).
🏈 Commanders vs. Chiefs player props: Monday Night Football
NFL player prop bets for Monday Night Football; NFL odds subject to change.
- Marcus Mariota player prop bet: Under 200.5 passing yards (-113 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Patrick Mahomes player prop bet: Over 39.5 yards largest pass completion (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Travis Kelce player prop bet: Under 3.5 receptions (+106 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
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💰 Best Commanders vs. Chiefs MNF player props
Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬇️ Marcus Mariota Under 200.5 passing yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Mariota’s season-high is 207 passing yards against the Las Vegas Raiders, a team allowing 225.1 passing yards per game. Even with his team trailing for this whole game, Mariota won’t hit this Over, as the Chiefs rank third in pass defense, allowing just 174.6 yards per contest.
This prop ranges from 189.5 to 200.5 yards. At the time of writing, DraftKings is offering the highest total, and the price of -113 implies a 53.05% chance this Under hits. A $10 bet would profit $8.85.
💡 Monday Night Football expert picks
- Commanders vs. Chiefs prediction
- Commanders vs. Chiefs player props
- Commanders vs. Chiefs same-game parlay
- Commanders vs. Chiefs anytime touchdown scorer predictions
- Commanders vs. Chiefs first touchdown scorer predictions
- Commanders vs. Chiefs expert picks
⬆️ Patrick Mahomes Over 39.5 yard longest pass completion (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Mahomes has only thrown three passes of at least 40 yards this season, but the Commanders have allowed a league-high eight passes of 40 or more yards this season. Additionally, the Commanders rank last in the league in yards allowed per reception, giving up 12.8 per catch.
FanDuel is offering Over 38.5 for -118, but the Commanders have been so bad at stopping long plays, I’ll take the extra yard for the better price. BetMGM’s price implies a 52.38% chance this bet hits. A $10 wager would profit $9.09.
Could this bomb ends up in the hands of wideout Rashee Rice? Gary Pearson's Commanders vs. Chiefs prediction is calling for a big night from the wide receiver.
⬇️ Travis Kelce Under 3.5 receptions (+106) ⭐⭐⭐
Kelce is second on the team with 31 receptions, and he’s caught at least four passes in five of his seven games. However, for as bad as the Commanders have been against the pass this season, they’ve given up just 32 completions to tight ends through seven games.
With the Chiefs favored by double digits, I anticipate less passing from the offense in this game, which means fewer opportunities for Kelce. Even if the passing keeps up, it could go to a different tight end, like Esten McLaren targets in his anytime touchdown scorers for Monday Night Football.
The price of +106 at DraftKings is excellent, with a $10 wager profiting $10.60. The odds imply a 48.54% chance this Under hits.
📊 Commanders vs. Chiefs odds: Monday Night Football
Latest Monday Night Football odds updated live in real time.
📺 How to watch Monday Night Football: Commanders vs. Chiefs
- Date: Monday, Oct. 27
- Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Mo.)
- TV: ABC/ESPN
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