Tigers vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: MLB Best Bets for Sept. 9
The Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees begin a critical series, a potential American League playoff preview, featuring two of the league’s 80-plus-win teams. I break down the series opener with my Tigers vs. Yankees prediction as part of our MLB picks.
The Yankees are the -155 moneyline betting favorite, and I am backing them to win, given Detroit righty Casey Mize’s struggles. That should facilitate a big day at the plate for the Yankees’ MVP candidate.
First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 p.m. ET (TBS/truTV).
⚾ Tigers vs. Yankees prediction
MLB expert picks made Tuesday; odds subject to change.
- Moneyline pick: Yankees (-154 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Run line pick: Yankees -1.5 (+130 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
📝 Tigers vs. Yankees preview & best bet
Track the latest MLB scores for line movement and matchup info.
🗽 Yankees ML (-154) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Both Detroit and New York begin this series well-rested after off days. There is no discernible advantage based on those trends, as the Tigers are 12-3 following off days while the Yankees have won 13 of 19.
New York has the slight advantage of not having to travel, while its superiority as home favorites provides additional confidence in this Tigers vs. Yankees best bet.
Detroit is 12-15 as a road ‘dog, while New York has won 60.9% of its games as home favorites. The Yankees have also been getting hot at home of late, winning three of their last four home series and holding opponents to three or fewer runs in six of their last nine games at Yankee Stadium.
New York lost two of three games at Detroit earlier in the year, but should have an edge over Tigers righty Casey Mize, who has pitched to a 5.55 ERA since the start of July.
Mize ranks in the bottom third of the league in hard-hit rate and whiff percentage. He has also been rocked in his last three road starts, failing to pitch into the fifth inning twice and allowing 13 earned runs in 13 ⅔ innings despite facing two teams that rank in the bottom six of the league in runs scored.
Given that New York’s implied probability is as high as 63.64% to win, we are getting great value by making this wager at Caesars. Its -154 odds equate to a 60.63% implied probability, and a $10 winning wager would net $6.49 in profits.
💰 Best Tigers vs. Yankees player prop bet
Our MLB player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬆️ Aaron Judge Over 1.5 total bases (+100) ⭐⭐⭐
Aaron Judge has not been hitting at the same consistent MVP level after spending 10 days on the IL with a shoulder injury, but he still has an OPS close to .900 since his return.
This is a great opportunity to buy low on Judge coming off a series against the Toronto Blue Jays, a team that seldom gives him pitches to hit and has walked him the most.
Judge’s five hits through six September games have all been singles. But even if he does not produce an extra-base hit, he can still go over this projected total with a multi-hit game, something he has done three times in the last 14.
Mize should afford such opportunities, as the righty’s slugging and OPS allowed are worse to right-handed batters than lefties.
It is rare to find plus-money odds on this wager for Judge, as he usually has a higher than 50% implied probability to go over this projected total. A $10 winning wager at +100 odds would return $10 in profits.
📊 Tigers vs. Yankees odds: Sept. 9
MLB odds update live in real time.
📈 Tigers vs. Yankees betting odds analysis
The Yankees’ moneyline odds have increased across our best sports betting sites from an opening number of -150. The total has remained consistent at 8.5 runs, but the juice has flipped from -115 to the Over to -105 despite getting 61% of early wagers.
🔢 Tigers vs. Yankees stats
Season stats courtesy of baseball-reference.com.
| Tigers (82-62) | Statistic (per game) | Yankees (80-63) |
|---|---|---|
| 4.83 | Runs | 5.24 |
| 8.39 | Hits | 8.43 |
| .250 | AVG | .249 |
| .421 | SLG | .454 |
| .740 | OPS | .784 |
| 3.84 | ERA | 3.87 |
| 8.52 | K/9 | 9.00 |
| 2.97 | BB/9 | 3.48 |
| 1.13 | HR/9 | 1.07 |
🚑 Tigers vs. Yankees injuries
📺 Tigers vs. Yankees game info
- When: Tuesday, Sept. 9
- First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET
- Where: Yankee Stadium (Bronx, N.Y.)
- How to watch: TBS/truTV
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❓ Tigers vs. Yankees FAQs
Who is favored to win Tigers vs. Yankees?
The Yankees are the -155 betting favorite to beat the Tigers at home.
What is the run line for Tigers vs. Yankees?
Detroit’s +1.5 odds are at -158 on the high end of the market, while New York’s -1.5 odds range from +125 to +130.
What is the Over/Under for Tigers vs. Yankees?
The best sports betting apps have the O/U set at 8.5 runs, and it’s juiced to -105 for the Over and -115 for the Under.
What are the best bets for Tigers vs. Yankees?
My Tigers vs. Yankees best bets back New York to win outright with Aaron Judge going over his projected number of total bases.
When is the Tigers vs. Yankees game?
The Tigers vs. Yankees first pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET, airing on TBS and truTV.
How do baseball odds work?
When betting on MLB, the run line shows how many runs the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -1.5 must win by two or more runs to cover the run line, while an underdog at +1.5 must win outright or lose by one run to cover the run line.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total of runs will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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