Best Home Run Predictions Today: MLB Odds, Picks & Prop Bets for Monday

My best home run predictions today look to two players with light tower power in Pete Alonso and Eugenio Suarez.
Home Run Predictions & Odds Today: Best MLB Picks & Prop Bets for Monday, Sept. 8
Pictured: Seattle Mariners third baseman Eugenio Suarez (28) doubles. Photo by Nathan Ray Seebeck via Imagn Images.

Caffeine and my best home run predictions today both serve as Monday pick-me-ups, as we look to kick the Monday blues with some winning wagers.

My best home run bets today look to Pete Alonso and Eugenio Suarez to up their season tallies, as they face favorable pitching matchups. Further, I'm taking fliers on Josh Bell and Freddie Freeman to go yard.

If my MLB picks manage to leave the yard, a $10 four-leg parlay will return nearly $4,000 in profits!


MLB best home run predictions & odds today: Sept. 8

Best home run predictions today based on the latest MLB odds.

  • Josh Bell to hit a home run (+550 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Pete Alonso to hit a home run (+300 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Eugenio Suarez to hit a home run (+300 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Freddie Freeman to hit a home run (+370 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

Best home run prediction today: MLB expert picks & prop bets

Here is my favorite MLB home run bet today and analysis of why it leads my MLB home run predictions.

Pete Alonso (Mets) to hit a home run (+300) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Home Run Predictions & Odds Today: Best MLB Picks & Prop Bets for Monday, Sept. 8
Pictured: New York Mets first base Pete Alonso (20) celebrates a solo home run. Photo by Junfu Han / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images.

Alonso has hit just four home runs across his past 10 outings, cashing this prop at a 30% clip during the same span. However, he's my best home run prediction today due to his historical success against Philadelphia starter Aaron Nola.

The Mets' slugger is slashing .327/.383/.709 in 55 career at-bats against the Phillies' former ace. He's posted 18 hits in the head-to-head, with nine going for extra bases and six leaving the yard. Nola has struggled mightily this season, as evidenced by his 6.78 ERA across 13 starts - the highest of his career by a large margin.

Nola has given up 15 dingers in 69 innings of work this season, including at least one in each of his last three outings. If Alonso can club his 34th of the campaign, a $10 wager with DraftKings returns $30 in profits.

Our Mike Spector is also backing Juan Soto to thrive today in his Mets vs. Phillies prediction, and he also breaks down Los Angeles' matchup in his Rockies vs. Dodgers prediction.


Eugenio Suarez (Mariners) to hit a home run (+300) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Home Run Predictions & Odds Today: Best MLB Picks & Prop Bets for Monday, Sept. 8
Pictured: Seattle Mariners third baseman Eugenio Suarez (28) celebrates hitting a home run. Photo by Jordan Godfree via Imagn Images.

It has not all been sunshine and rainbows for Suarez in his return to Seattle. His batting average dipped from .248 with Arizona to .206 with the Mariners, but his home run numbers have remained above average. 

Suarez has left the yard nine times across 34 games back in Seattle's navy blue threads. This stretch includes three across his last two games, and he's cashed this prop at a 30% clip in his last 10 outings. Suarez looks to make it three straight with a moon shot tonight against St. Louis.

Seattle's slugger has taken the Cardinals' starter, Miles Mikolas, deep in nearly 25% of at-bats against one another. He's 9-for-19 (.474) in his career against the 37-year-old, so we believe Suarez is worth a $10 flier, which yields a $30 profit if the Mariners star improves his stats against Mikolas.


Best home run parlay picks

Use our parlay calculator to get the best odds for any parlay.

  • Josh Bell to hit a home run (+500 via FanDuel)
  • Pete Alonso to hit a home run (+280 via FanDuel)
  • Eugenio Suarez to hit a home run (+300 via FanDuel)
  • Freddie Freeman to hit a home run (+330 via FanDuel)

Best parlay odds: +39116 via FanDuel ($10 to win $3,911.60)


Expert MLB predictions today


Best home run predictions FAQs

What are the best home run props for tonight?

Our best home run predictions today feature Pete Alonso, Josh Bell, Freddie Freeman, and Eugenio Suarez.

What is a home run bet?

A home run bet is a wager on a hitter to hit a HR at any point during a game. Some sportsbooks allow you to bet on a hitter to not hit a home run, but the most common bet is on them to do so.

Can you parlay home run bets?

Yes, you can parlay home run bets. We've provided our best home run parlay today.

How do I place a home run bet? 

To place a home run bet, simply go to your favorite sportsbook and go to the game featuring the player of your choice. Then click on batter props and you should see an option to bet a player to hit a home run.

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