Astros vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: MLB Best Bets for Sept. 9
Both the Houston Astros and Toronto Blue Jays have been locked in offensively as of late, something I’m expecting more of for my Astros vs. Blue Jays prediction. First pitch for the series opener is set for 7:07 p.m. ET (Sportsnet, SCHN) on Tuesday night from Rogers Centre in Toronto.
My MLB picks like Astros slugger Yordan Alvarez to continue his recent torrid stretch at the plate, and I’m supporting the Over on one of his player props.
Be sure to also check out Gabe Henderson's best home run predictions today, which feature Toronto's George Springer.
⚾ Astros vs. Blue Jays expert picks & predictions
MLB odds subject to change.
- Moneyline pick: Blue Jays (-155 via bet365) ⭐⭐
- Run line pick: Blue Jays -1.5 (+130 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
📝 Astros vs. Blue Jays preview & best bet
Track the latest MLB scores for line movement and matchup info.
🔥 Over 8.5 runs (-110) ⭐⭐⭐
The Astros and Blue Jays have both been prolific at the plate over the last five games. The Blue Jays are second in MLB in runs per game (7.2) over that stretch, while the Astros sit seventh (5.6).
The Blue Jays have been a terrific offensive club on home field all season, ranking third in wRC+ (121), tied for fourth in runs scored (367), and third in OPS (.794).
The Astros, meanwhile, are a completely different team with Alvarez in the lineup. I like the opportunity to back two hot-hitting teams at a stadium that’s fifth in runs and third in home runs in 2025, per Baseball Savant’s Park Factors leaderboard.
One of the best sports betting sites, BetMGM, offers -110 odds on the Over, which nets out a profit of $9.09 on a $10 bet. The -110 odds have an implied probability of 52.38%.
💰 Best Astros vs. Blue Jays player prop bet
Our MLB player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬆️ Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBI (-120) ⭐⭐⭐
Yordan Alvarez has historically enjoyed his time at Rogers Centre, slashing .326/.456/.826 with seven home runs, 16 runs scored, and 16 RBI in 14 games.
The Blue Jays haven’t announced their starting pitcher for Tuesday’s game as of this writing. If Jose Berrios ultimately takes the mound, Alvarez has managed only three hits in 16 at-bats against the right-hander, though two of those hits were home runs.
A $10 wager on Alvarez’s Over pays out a profit of $8.33 at Caesars. The -120 odds have an implied probability of 54.55%.
📊 Astros vs. Blue Jays odds: Sept. 9
MLB odds update live in real time.
📈 Astros vs. Blue Jays betting odds analysis
Toronto opened as high as a -167 favorite, with some of the best sports betting apps offering them as low as -149 as of Tuesday morning.
🔢 Astros vs. Blue Jays stats
Season stats courtesy of baseball-reference.com.
| Astros (78-66) | Statistic (per game) | Blue Jays (82-61) |
|---|---|---|
| 4.23 | Runs | 5.00 |
| 8.57 | Hits | 9.17 |
| .253 | AVG | .269 |
| .401 | SLG | .433 |
| .719 | OPS | .771 |
| 3.85 | ERA | 4.24 |
| 9.56 | K/9 | 9.01 |
| 3.18 | BB/9 | 3.22 |
| 1.23 | HR/9 | 1.36 |
🚑 Astros vs. Blue Jays injuries
📺 Astros vs. Blue Jays game info
- When: Tuesday, Sept. 9
- First pitch: 7:07 p.m. ET
- Where: Rogers Centre (Toronto)
- How to watch: Sportsnet, SCHN
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❓ Astros vs. Blue Jays FAQs
Who is favored to win Astros vs. Blue Jays?
The Blue Jays are -155 favorites to defeat the Astros at home on Tuesday.
What is the run line for Astros vs. Blue Jays?
Toronto is a -1.5 run line favorite against Houston in Tuesday’s matchup.
What is the Over/Under for Astros vs. Blue Jays?
The total for Tuesday’s game between the Astros and Blue Jays is 8.5.
What are the best bets for Astros vs. Blue Jays?
My best bets for Tuesday’s Astros vs. Blue Jays game are Over 8.5 runs (-110) and Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 hits, runs, and RBI (-120).
When is the Astros vs. Blue Jays game?
First pitch is set for 7:07 p.m. ET on Tuesday at Rogers Centre.
How do baseball odds work?
When betting on MLB, the run line shows how many runs the favorite needs to win by in order to cash the bet. For example, a favorite of -1.5 must win by two or more runs to cover the run line, while an underdog at +1.5 must win outright or lose by one run to cover the run line.
Moneyline odds represent the payout for picking the outright winner (+200 means a $100 bet wins $200, while -200 means a $200 bet wins $100). Over/Unders let you wager on whether the combined total of runs will be higher or lower than the set number.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
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